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Every game at once: live scores with the model's win probabilities, the biggest gap between the model and what is actually happening, and the receipts once the whistle goes. A companion for the ninety minutes, not a betting slip.

Formula 1 · Round 10 of 23

Belgian Grand Prix

Antonelli held off Leclerc for a sixth win of the season and extended his title lead, after George Russell retired from an early crash.

34.2% Antonellimodel favourite

the model's ledger

Receipts

Every pre-match call sits beside the result, misses and all. The sample is small; the record is permanent.

Settled
14
Exact scores
2
Right calls
9

coming up

10 to come
Sat 10 Oct, 12:30 BSTARSvLEEARS 69%Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 BSTAVLvBREBRE 39%Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 BSTCHEvBOUCHE 53%Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 BSTIPSvFULFUL 38%Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 BSTSUNvBHABHA 39%Sat 10 Oct, 17:30 BSTMUNvTOTMUN 56%Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 BSTCRYvNFOCRY 37%
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Receipts
FUL2–3CHECalled itNEW2–2LIVMissedBHA4–0AVLCalled itMCI2–1BOUCalled itBRE3–0TOTCalled itEVE2–0CRYCalled itIPS2–1SUNMissed

Live scores and win probabilities poll ESPN's public feed in your browser; the model bars are each match's own 100,000-run reference. Probabilities, not predictions, and never betting advice.