matchday

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Every game at once: live scores with the model's win probabilities, the biggest gap between the model and what is actually happening, and the receipts once the whistle goes. A companion for the ninety minutes, not a betting slip.

Formula 1 · Round 10 of 22

Belgian Grand Prix

Antonelli held off Leclerc for a sixth win of the season and extended his title lead, after George Russell retired from an early crash.

34.2% Antonellimodel favourite

the model's ledger

Receipts

Every pre-match call sits beside the result, misses and all. The sample is small; the record is permanent.

Settled
3
Exact scores
2
Right calls
3

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Receipts

Live scores and win probabilities poll ESPN's public feed in your browser; the model bars are each match's own 100,000-run reference. Probabilities, not predictions, and never betting advice.