2026 season

Formula 1

Every 2026 Formula 1 grand prix, modelled: win, podium and points probabilities from a seeded race simulation calibrated to the market, plus the grid, the circuit, and live timing.

Next race

Formula 1 · Round 10 of 22

Belgian Grand Prix

Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps · Sun 19 July · 15:00 CEST (14:00 BST)

Model favourite: Antonelli at 34.2%

Researched, modelled, and written by James Frewin. Sources are linked and the maths is seeded, but AI can make mistakes: check anything that matters. Analysis to argue with, not advice, and never betting advice.