The model rates Everton at 55% at home, with the draw on 23% and Coventry City on 22%. Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 GMT. Probabilities, not a tip.
MatchEverton v Coventry CityFri 6 Nov, 20:00 GMT. EVE 55%, draw 23%, COV 22%The Touchline feed: calls, results and the working
TouchlineForecast
TouchlineForecastLeeds United v Tottenham Hotspur is tight on the numbers: LEE 38%, draw 27%, TOT 35%. Sat 7 Nov, 12:30 GMT. Probabilities, not a tip.
MatchLeeds United v Tottenham HotspurSat 7 Nov, 12:30 GMT. LEE 38%, draw 27%, TOT 35%
TouchlineForecastThe model rates Arsenal at 81% at home, with the draw on 13% and Hull City on 6%. Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 GMT. Probabilities, not a tip.
MatchArsenal v Hull CitySat 7 Nov, 15:00 GMT. ARS 81%, draw 13%, HUL 6%
TouchlineForecastFulham v Newcastle United: FUL 47%, draw 25%, NEW 28%. Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 GMT. Probabilities, not a tip.
MatchFulham v Newcastle UnitedSat 7 Nov, 15:00 GMT. FUL 47%, draw 25%, NEW 28%
TouchlineForecastThe model leans to Manchester City at 55%, with Nottingham Forest on 22% and the draw 23%. Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 GMT. Probabilities, not a tip.
MatchNottingham Forest v Manchester CitySat 7 Nov, 17:30 GMT. NFO 22%, draw 23%, MCI 55%
TouchlineForecastThe model rates Brighton & Hove Albion at 49% at home, with the draw on 24% and Brentford on 27%. Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 GMT. Probabilities, not a tip.
MatchBrighton & Hove Albion v BrentfordSun 8 Nov, 14:00 GMT. BHA 49%, draw 24%, BRE 27%
TouchlineForecastCrystal Palace v Liverpool: LIV 60% on the road, CRY 19%, draw 21%. Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 GMT. Probabilities, not a tip.
MatchCrystal Palace v LiverpoolSun 8 Nov, 14:00 GMT. CRY 19%, draw 21%, LIV 60%
TouchlineForecastThe model leans to AFC Bournemouth at 49%, with Ipswich Town on 26% and the draw 25%. Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 GMT. Probabilities, not a tip.
MatchIpswich Town v AFC BournemouthSun 8 Nov, 14:00 GMT. IPS 26%, draw 25%, BOU 49%
TouchlineForecastThe model leans to Chelsea at 47%, with Sunderland on 27% and the draw 26%. Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 GMT. Probabilities, not a tip.
MatchSunderland v ChelseaSun 8 Nov, 14:00 GMT. SUN 27%, draw 26%, CHE 47%
TouchlineForecastClose to call: the model has Manchester United at 44%, the draw 24% and Aston Villa 32%. Sun 8 Nov, 16:30 GMT. Probabilities, not a tip.
MatchManchester United v Aston VillaSun 8 Nov, 16:30 GMT. MUN 44%, draw 24%, AVL 32%
TouchlineThe tableNew leaders: Arsenal, on 24 after matchweek 9. Brighton & Hove Albion are third on 19.
TablePremier League tableThe full table, form and results
TouchlineThe tableManchester City and Arsenal are level on 21 after matchweek 8, Manchester City ahead on the tiebreak. Arsenal hold second, Brighton & Hove Albion third on 16.
TablePremier League tableThe full table, form and results
TouchlineThe tableMatchweek 7 done. Manchester City are top on 21, with Arsenal 3 points behind. Brighton & Hove Albion are third on 16.
TablePremier League tableThe full table, form and results
TouchlineResult gradedCoventry City 4–1 Newcastle United, with Jack Rudoni, Sidiki Cherif, Ellis Simms and Stephen Mfuni on the scoresheet. The model had Newcastle United on 45%. Coventry City came in at 30%, so this was the less likely result. It happens, and the receipt shows it. Newcastle United had 67% of the ball.
MatchCoventry City v Newcastle UnitedCOV 4–1 NEW, settled
TouchlineThe tableManchester City lead after matchweek 6 on 18, 3 points clear of Arsenal. Arsenal hold second on 15, Brighton & Hove Albion third on 13.
TablePremier League tableThe full table, form and results
TouchlineResult gradedLiverpool finished with ten men and lost 3–0 to Manchester City. Forecast: Manchester City to win at 39%. Called.
MatchLiverpool v Manchester CityLIV 0–3 MCI, settled
TouchlineResult gradedHonours even, Hull City 2–2 Everton. Joe Gelhardt and Mohamed Belloumi for Hull City, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Thierno Barry for Everton. Not what the forecast leaned towards: Everton 46%, the draw 27%.
MatchHull City v EvertonHUL 2–2 EVE, settled
TouchlineResult gradedCrystal Palace came from behind to beat Nottingham Forest 3–1. Daichi Kamada, Jefferson Lerma and Yéremy Pino scored. Forecast: Crystal Palace to win at 37%. Called.
MatchCrystal Palace v Nottingham ForestCRY 3–1 NFO, settled
TouchlineResult gradedTottenham Hotspur had a player sent off in a 1–1 draw with Manchester United. The model had Manchester United on 56%. The draw came in at 22%, so this was the less likely result. It happens, and the receipt shows it. 74,129 at Old Trafford.
MatchManchester United v Tottenham HotspurMUN 1–1 TOT, settled
TouchlineResult gradedAston Villa 2–2 Brentford, a point each. Nicolas Jackson and John McGinn for Aston Villa, Yehor Yarmoliuk and Kristoffer Ajer for Brentford. Not what the forecast leaned towards: Brentford 39%, the draw 25%.
MatchAston Villa v BrentfordAVL 2–2 BRE, settled
TouchlineResult gradedBrighton & Hove Albion finished with ten men and still won Sunderland 0–2 Brighton & Hove Albion. The model made Brighton & Hove Albion the most likely result at 39%. It held.
MatchSunderland v Brighton & Hove AlbionSUN 0–2 BHA, settled
TouchlineResult gradedIpswich Town came from behind to beat Fulham 2–1. Abdoul Ouattara and Dara O'Shea scored. The model had Fulham on 38%. Ipswich Town came in at 36%, so this was the less likely result. It happens, and the receipt shows it.
MatchIpswich Town v FulhamIPS 2–1 FUL, settled
TouchlineResult gradedAFC Bournemouth were beaten 5–1 by Chelsea, with Jordan Henderson (2), Morgan Rogers and João Pedro (2) on the scoresheet. The published forecast had Chelsea at 53%, and that is how it went.
MatchChelsea v AFC BournemouthCHE 5–1 BOU, settled
TouchlineResult gradedA turnaround at Arsenal v Leeds United: Arsenal won 2–1 after trailing. Forecast: Arsenal to win at 69%. Called.
MatchArsenal v Leeds UnitedARS 2–1 LEE, settled
TouchlineThe tableNew leaders: Manchester City, on 15 after matchweek 5. Brighton & Hove Albion are third on 10.
TablePremier League tableThe full table, form and results
TouchlineThe tableArsenal go top after matchweek 4, on 12. Manchester City hold second, Leeds United third on 8.
TablePremier League tableThe full table, form and results
TouchlineThe tableManchester City and Arsenal are level on 9 after matchweek 3, Manchester City ahead on the tiebreak. Hull City are third on 7.
TablePremier League tableThe full table, form and results
TouchlineThe tableManchester City go top after matchweek 2, on 6. Arsenal hold second, Hull City third on 6.
TablePremier League tableThe full table, form and results
TouchlineResult gradedChelsea 3–2 Fulham, with João Pedro, Morgan Rogers and Cole Palmer on the scoresheet. The model made Chelsea the most likely result at 40%. It held.
MatchFulham v ChelseaFUL 2–3 CHE, settled
TouchlineThe tableBrighton & Hove Albion and Arsenal are level on 3 after matchweek 1, Brighton & Hove Albion ahead on the tiebreak. Brentford are third on 3.
TablePremier League tableThe full table, form and results
TouchlineResult gradedHonours even, Newcastle United 2–2 Liverpool. Anthony Elanga and Joe Willock for Newcastle United, Cody Gakpo and Dominik Szoboszlai for Liverpool. Not what the forecast leaned towards: Liverpool 44%, the draw 24%.
MatchNewcastle United v LiverpoolNEW 2–2 LIV, settled
TouchlineResult gradedAFC Bournemouth led, then lost 2–1 to Manchester City. Marc Guéhi and Josko Gvardiol scored for the winners. Forecast: Manchester City to win at 63%. Called. Manchester City had 66% of the ball.
MatchManchester City v AFC BournemouthMCI 2–1 BOU, settled
TouchlineResult gradedAston Villa finished with ten men and lost 4–0 to Brighton & Hove Albion. The model made Brighton & Hove Albion the most likely result at 39%. It held. The shots were 21 to 6.
MatchBrighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaBHA 4–0 AVL, settled
TouchlineResult gradedBrentford won 3–0 at home to Tottenham Hotspur, the first goal coming on 12 minutes. Keane Lewis-Potter, Vitaly Janelt and Michael Kayode scored. Forecast: Brentford to win at 41%. Called. 17,180 at Gtech Community Stadium.
MatchBrentford v Tottenham HotspurBRE 3–0 TOT, settled
TouchlineResult gradedEverton beat Crystal Palace 2–0. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Thierno Barry scored. The published forecast had Everton at 44%, and that is how it went.
MatchEverton v Crystal PalaceEVE 2–0 CRY, settled
TouchlineResult gradedA late one. Jack Clarke won it for Ipswich Town in the 90th minute, 2–1. Not what the forecast leaned towards: Sunderland 37%, Ipswich Town 34%.
MatchIpswich Town v SunderlandIPS 2–1 SUN, settled
TouchlineResult gradedLeeds United had to wait: Anton Stach found the winner on 88 minutes, 1–0 against Nottingham Forest. Not what the forecast leaned towards: Nottingham Forest 42%, Leeds United 30%.
MatchNottingham Forest v Leeds UnitedNFO 0–1 LEE, settled
TouchlineResult gradedHull City won 2–0 at home to Manchester United, the first goal coming on 17 minutes. Semi Ajayi and Nobel Mendy scored. Not what the forecast leaned towards: Manchester United 61%, Hull City 17%. Manchester United had 72% of the ball.
MatchHull City v Manchester UnitedHUL 2–0 MUN, settled
TouchlineResult gradedArsenal 3–0 Coventry City, with Kai Havertz, Bukayo Saka and Martin Ødegaard on the scoresheet. The published forecast had Arsenal at 78%, and that is how it went. The shots were 20 to 4.
MatchArsenal v Coventry CityARS 3–0 COV, settled
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Latest is strictly newest first. For you starts from newest and lifts posts that show their working (a number or a source), that readers have liked, that are about your club, about a match on now, or from people you follow. It also learns a little from what you like, open and reply to, and from what you mute or hide. That lives only on this device, fades over a few weeks, and can lift or lower a post by at most a third: it reorders what is allowed, it never hides anything. A post that insists an outcome is certain sits lower. Follower counts, reply counts and how heated a post is play no part. Betting talk is kept out of the feed altogether.